The Economic History of the Solar System 

It’s my intention to write some science fiction.  Near future, hard science fiction based on tech that we can believe in today. To do this, I create some serious constraints for myself.  No faster then light travel. No artificial gravity. No aliens or, even, alien artifacts. No laser blasters and no spaceships zooming around like WW2 era airplanes.

But, to make these novels workable, I need conflict and stakes.

So I will look to that most ancient and human source of conflict and stakes – economics.  This means I need an economic history for my setting. NASA and its probes will unveil the Solar system as it is and create the physical setting. I need an economic history to complete the human setting.

These posts are my attempt to create a believable economic history to the settlement of our Solar System.

Update: I have decided that the posts will be written in past tense. It just makes it easier. I’m speculating but just down a single line of thought and it’s a lot easier to write in past tense.

The (growing) outline is as follows:

The Early Period:

Links

For those interested, here’s some of the links that I have used as inspiration for this fictitious history.

Economic History of the Solar System: Links

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Colonizing the Solar System: The Basics – Water in Orbit

This is the first of my thought experiments about colonizing the Solar System.  I’m of the view that we won’t wait until we have space elevators or anti-gravity drives. When selecting start colonizing, getting into orbit will be a lottery of effort. Personally, I believe that when humanity gets serious about the Solar System, well still be struggling to get into orbit. I suspect that an early goal for long term settlement will be a consistent and ready supply of water in orbit.

If there’s water on the moon or on an asteroid close to Earth. That will be the primary objective. To establish a settlement and a mechanism for reliably and routinely getting the water for there into Earth orbit. It could be stored above geostationary orbit (where there is less junk) and decelerated into a lower orbit as needed.

The first permanently inhabited colony in space may be on a chunk of ice. Once the cost of moving heavy propellant into orbit is removed then travel time around the Solar System can be reduced and the amount of useful equipment brought into space increased.

In my timeline, this is what has happened. The first colonies were set up to guarantee a ready supply of fuel.